Estimated Change in Insurance Coverage from COVID-Related Economic Downturn, California (rounded to nearest thousand)

Low Unemployment Scenario
Medicaid: 1,484,000
Employer-sponsored: 1,301,000
Marketplace: 13,000
Uninsured: 196,000

Medium Unlemployment Scenario
Medicaid: 2,211,000
Employer-sponsored: 2,555,000
Marketplace: 165,000
Uninsured: 179,000

High Unemployment Scenario
Medicaid: 2,998,000
Employer-sponsored: 3,837,000
Marketplace: 252,000
Uninsured: 586,000

Note: Low scenario assumes 10 million people lost jobs; Medium: 21 million; High: 33 million
 

Source: HMA: COVID-19 Impact on Medicaid, Marketplace, and the Uninsured, by State